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#cryosphere

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‘Catastrophic’ 2023 lake outburst in India driven by glacial melt and permafrost thaw

#ClimateChange played a key role in the “catastrophic” 2023 floods in the Himalayan state of Sikkim in #India, a new study says.
The breach of one of the “largest, fastest-growing and most hazardous” glacial lakes in Sikkim, the South #Lhonak lake, led to cascading floods that killed 55 people and washed away a 1,200 megawatt (MW) #hydropower dam.
The event was identified as a glacial lake outburst flood (#GLOF), which is a sudden release of water from a lake fed by glacial melt.
#Sikkim is a small Himalayan state in north-east India, bordering #China in the north, #Bhutan in the east, #Nepal in the west and the state of West #Bengal in the south.
Part of the eastern #Himalaya, Sikkim is host to more than 90 #glaciers and #Kanchenjunga, the world’s third-highest peak. Sikkim serves as the origin and upper river basin for the #Teesta river, one of the largest tributaries of the #Brahmaputra river system.

carbonbrief.org/catastrophic-2

Groundwater in the Arctic is delivering more carbon into the ocean than was previously known

A relatively small amount of #groundwater trickling through #Alaska's #tundra is releasing huge quantities of #carbon into the #ocean, where it can contribute to #ClimateChange, according to new research out of The University of Texas at Austin.
As the tundra continues to thaw and the flow of submarine groundwater ratchets up, Demir said that the outflow of carbon from shore to sea could effectively make ocean surface waters a carbon source to the #atmosphere. The #CO2 released via groundwater could also contribute to ocean #acidification.
"The #Arctic coast is changing in front of our eyes," said Bayani Cardenas, a co-author of this study and professor at the Jackson School's Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences. "As #permafrost thaws, it turns into coastal and submarine #aquifers. Even without this thawing, our studies are among the first to directly show the existence of such aquifers."

phys.org/news/2025-01-groundwa

#ClimateScience
#ClimateCrisis
#Cryosphere

Continued thread

Hm. nature.com/articles/s41467-021
"Timescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios" by deVrese and Brovkin 2021

They took one of the plant-soil models and looked in an overshoot scenario what the temperature rise and artificial sudden removal of atmospheric CO2 does to the soil and carbon store in the #Arctic.

The end result after adaption to new stabilisation level is: carbon store is only 40GtC lower than before the overshoot, ie a mere 4 years worth of current global fossil CO2 emissions.
This surprisingly (to me) low end result of -40GtC is due to increased plant growth from the temperature increase over pre-industrial, from the prolonged growth seasons, and a special Arctic circumstance of high Nitrogen availability that ensures nutrients for excessive plant growth.

But the "end result" comprises the whole adjustment period to a stabilised °C after the overshoot. Adjustment takes 1000 yrs in the model.
And in the interim periods, emissions from thawing permafrost do reach 1 to 1.5GtC each year, and for decades! The duration for this soil-atmosphere carbon flux depends on the level and duration of the temperature overshoot.
Of course, it also increases the #CO2 amount to be artificially removed to undo an #overshoot.

In the context of #RCPcollapse :
the toot above showed how natural CO2 removal after civilisation collapse leads to temperature reduction of more than 0.5°C within 30 years .
Now, while permafrost thaw is irreversible on human time scales, it won't continue in RCPcollapse. (Because Arctic permafrost has no general technical tipping point after which self-perpetuating or self-reinforcing processes would kick in. Such processes only exist in small areas, locally, with local-only tipping behaviour. See "Global Tipping Points Report" 2023, chapter on #cryosphere nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/5365)
In RCPcollapse, the adjustment to the new equilibrium will take 1000 years – but there won't be a palpable increase in °C from the thaw.

NatureTimescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios - Nature CommunicationsIn this study, the authors investigate a scenario where global temperature increase is limited to 1.5 °C. They find that Arctic ecosystems will need centuries to adapt to such an increase and that the ensuing steady-state depends on the preceding climate trajectory.

"A third of the Arctic’s tundra, forests and wetlands have become a source of carbon emissions"

“It is the first time that we’re seeing this shift at such a large scale, cumulatively across all of the tundra. That’s a pretty big deal”

Well shit, there goes another tipping point :(

theguardian.com/environment/20

The Guardian · A third of the Arctic’s vast carbon sink now a source of emissions, study revealsBy Patrick Greenfield

Permafrost in climate change: Models predict #Arctic 's response to global warming

When the #permafrost thaws, microorganisms begin to break down the material. This produces greenhouse gases: #CarbonDioxide (#CO2) or #methane, (#CH4) which has about 28 times the warming effect of CO2 on a time horizon of 100 years. These gases also escape from the ponds and lakes, where a lot of #carbon is decomposed as well.

phys.org/news/2025-01-permafro

#Cryosphere
#ClimateChange
#TippingPoint
#GlobalWarming

More than 1.2 million years old ice core drilled

#Antarctic project Beyond #EPICA - Oldest Ice extracts historically unique ice core.
It is a historic milestone for #ClimateResearch: an international research team involving the Alfred Wegener Institute #AWI has successfully drilled a 2,800 metre-long ice core , reaching the bedrock beneath the Antarctic ice sheet.

awi.de/en/about-us/service/pre

#ClimateScience
#ClimateCrisis
#Cryosphere

www.awi.deSingle view - AWI

In case all the interest in #Greenland has raised your interest in a new job, our ace collaborators in #Asiaq, the logistics and survey organisation are currently recruiting a #climate + #cryosphere position.
This is a *permanent* position and a super opportunity to work on some really exciting data, as well as on both @horizoneu and @esaclimate type projects.
We have a long-running collaboration with Asiaq, so you may even end up trying to avoid me in the office...

#Fedijobs #AcademicJobs #PhDone #GetFediHired #ScienceJobs #Glaciology #ClimateJobs

asiaq.career.emply.com/en/ad/c

asiaq.career.emply.comClimate, hydrology and cryosphere - Researcher (repost) I AsiaqASIAQ – Greenland Survey is recruiting a new colleague to join the Hydrology, Climate & Environment (HKM) department. We are looking for a motivated, engaged person who can be part of a department wit

This week marks 5 months without consistent paychecks. Things are tough.

CV / about me here:
iamadamsteer.com

Specialist consulting here:
spatialised.net

Big thoughts here:
toolsfortherevolution.com

Basics: academic training in psychology (BSc)/earth systems (PhD). Life-trained effective systems thinker/operator. Experienced in multiple cultures. Positive change maker.

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Adam SteerAdam SteerI am Adam Steer