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#modeling

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🚨 📢 #Job alert! 💼
Are you interested in #oceanography with a background in #physics, #mathematics,& data #visualization? 🌊 📊 We're opening a 3-year position for a doctoral #PhD candidate to work on the #ocean component of our #ICON #climate model. You'll be working w/ our "Complex #Modeling & Extreme #Computing" group under supervision of Nils Brüggemann & be a member of our #IMPRS doctoral program. 🎓 Check out the full ad & apply until April 20: jobs.mpimet.mpg.de/jobposting/
#hiring #sciencejobs

jobs.mpimet.mpg.dePhD | Doctoral Candidate (W-0037)

"Climate change is causing the world's glaciers to disappear at an alarming rate. Scientists have been studying and modeling this process for years, but until now, no research group has specifically examined how glacier melt will affect glacier-fed streams and their ecosystems".

#glaciers #ecosystems #modeling #climatechange
phys.org/news/2025-03-glacier-

Phys.org · Glacier melt puts unique microbial ecosystems under threatBy Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne

Evaluating Drought Risk Of The Red River Of The North Basin Using Historical And Stochastic Streamflow Upstream From Emerson, Manitoba
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pubs.usgs.gov/publication/sir2 <-- shared link to USGS publication
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waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis <-- USGS National Water Information System (NWIS) database - USGS water open data for the Nation
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #deterministic #waterbalance #stochasticweather #model #modeling #RedRiver #USA #Canada #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #waterresources #streamgage #NorthDakota #Manitoba #streamflow #flood #flooding #watersupply #agriculture #farming #ecology #drought #extremeweather #meteorology #basin #subbasin #risk #hazard #gauge #flow
@USGS

Today I heard an anecdote about the Monty Hall problem. Apparently Monty Hall himself was once asked his thoughts about the formal version of the problem, and his response was that it was in no way faithful to the game show problem from which it takes its name.

Where does the formal version fall short? Monty himself actively tried to mislead the contestant. He knew them, and tried to persuade them. This was a key part of the game. He said the formal model kills all the suspense. It'd be too boring to watch.

In other words, Monty Hall operated in a large world and it's in that context the Monty Hall problem is interesting, whereas the formal "Monty Hall problem" chops it down to a small world that is not faithful to the real world version of the problem, and on top of it all is boring.

#EcologicalRationality #LargeWorlds #SmallWorlds #modeling #DecisionTheory #ChoiceTheory #RationalChoiceTheory #MontyHallProblem
en.wikipedia.orgMonty Hall problem - Wikipedia

Glacial Lake Mapping Using Remote Sensing Geo-Foundation Model
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doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2025.104 <-- shared paper
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HIGHLIGHTS:
• Proposed U-ViT model based on Prithvi GFM for multi-sensor glacial lake mapping.
• Achieved an F1 score of 0.894 on Sentinel-1&2, surpassing CNNs scoring below 0.8.
• Maintains strong performance with 50% less training data, proving efficiency.
• Excels in detecting small lakes (<0.01km²) and handling clouds and complex terrains..."
#GIS #spatial #mapping #glaciallake #GeospatialFoundationModel #satellite #Sentinel #GaoFen #remotesensing #earthobservation #model #modeling #climatechange #glacial #glacier #melt #melting #UViT #deepleanring #AI #framework #performance #metrics #opensource

Continued thread

Why does this all matter for #lava flow #modeling? Because most probably lava is non-Newtonian. This means that in our wish to determine how its viscosity depends on the chemical and physical properties of the melt, we're not looking for ONE functional relationship (the viscosity coefficient), but multiple ones: for example, assuming a Herschel–Bulkley model we'd need to find THREE such functional relationship: one for the yield strength, one for the exponent, and one for the coefficient. All of these measured on the actual lava flows across different volcanoes at different times and in completely uncontrolled conditions.

As you can see, not exactly the simplest of tasks.

And of course, if we don't have these functional relationship we can't actually model lava flows.

Or can we?

8/