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#deterrence

1 post1 participant0 posts today

If Moscow manages to negotiate the lifting of sanctions in exchange for a ceasefire, its militarised economy will quickly regain strength
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Only deterrence by denial – ensuring that any future attack would be impossible or overwhelmingly costly – can secure lasting peace in the region.
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Deterrence must be pan-European, treating Ukraine’s security as an integral part of the broader European defence architecture
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From: rusi.org/explore-our-research/

www.rusi.orgConsolidating Europe’s Eastern Frontiers: the Options for Ukraine and the ContinentCome a ceasefire in Ukraine, the border to Europe’s East will remain a line of tension with no end in sight, necessitating new concepts for collective defence.

reuters.com/world/europe/rare-

(and what about #Canada?)

without U.S. ally, Western army chiefs meet to show #Ukraine unity

closed-door gathering of 34 army chiefs, including #NATO alliance and #EU members as well as #Japan and #Australia, was a rare -possibly unprecedented -convening without the U.S.

"The political message is we can do it together and without the United States, but it's clear there are things we can't do and the problem with Russia is we need to have #deterrence" said a diplomat.

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@alexlunaview nodds in agreement

The #War against #Ukraine must end with Kiyv winning, and I don't just mean #StatusQuoAnteBellum (1994-2011), but full #EU & #NATO membership with stationed #troops and #nukes.

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Japan imports most of its fossil fuels, still depending on Russia for 9% of LNG needs (Australia supplies about 40%). For uranium, Japan looks to Australia, Canada & Kazakhstan.
OTOH a 2022 paper from ANU claimed "Japan has 14 times more solar and offshore wind resources than needed to supply 100% renewable electricity".
So unspoken reasons for Japan's leaders needing excuses for expanding nuclear🤔
sciencedirect.com/science/arti
#Japan #nuclear #deterrence

www.sciencedirect.com100% renewable energy in JapanLow-cost solar photovoltaics and wind offer a reliable and affordable pathway to deep decarbonization of energy, which accounts for three quarters of …
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#Biden says he remains committed to Ukrainian victory. Asked about the #war’s endgame, Biden says, “#Peace looks like making sure #Russia never, never, never, never occupies #Ukraine.”

…even longtime critics are impressed w/Biden’s efforts in Ukraine.

…Biden says his response has been part of a broader #deterrence strategy. “If we ever let Ukraine go down, mark my words, you’ll see #Poland go, & you’ll see all those nations along the actual border of Russia [fall].”

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Many more people will experience the feeling of seeing a ghost when they see nonconsensual AI pictures or even videos of themselves on the Internet.

It's funny that Ali Diamond was on a livestream when she discovered it. The people could see her face.

Hopefully, the 6 million dollar fine that the FCC is asking from the person who impersonated Biden in a robocall + the fine for the carrier will create some deterrence.

dig.watch/updates/fcc-proposes

@josephcox
#AI #Deterrence #Fake

Digital Watch Observatory · FCC proposes $6 million fine for scammer impersonating US President Biden in robocalls | Digital Watch ObservatoryGenerative AI platforms have made it easy to create fake voices, including President Biden's, with minimal oversight.
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@pgcd @The_Sun err, about nine things.

First off, #deterrence is still in effect. Secondly, it's, arguably, within Russia's capabilites. Certainly it's within China's.

Most importantly, this paves the way for a post scarcity economy. There's no reason to not sell power, and more power than we've ever seen before.

The pressing concern is the duck curve, but that's only an immediate problem to solve. A problem, arguably, better solved with nuclear power.

"WASHINGTON, April 12 (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden on Friday said he expected Iran to attack Israel "sooner, rather than later" and warned Tehran not to proceed.
Asked by reporters about his message to Iran, Biden said simply, "Don't," and he underscored Washington's commitment to defend Israel."

now that's a man who understands the meaning of credible #deterrence within the context of #geopolitics and #realpolitik .

#reuters #genocide

reuters.com/world/us/biden-say

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Despite the legal complexities of a “true threat”, some at the receiving end of the vitriol are calling for more urgent action.
#Adrian #Fontes, Arizona’s current secretary of state whose office has been the target of several of the most serious threats, told the Guardian that in his view it was taking “monstrously long” for federal prosecutors to secure sentences.
He called for an increase in penalties, and a broadening of the scope of what constitutes a criminal threat against election officials. “I don’t know that the federal bureaucracy has been nimble enough. 💥They’re not treating it like the #domestic #terrorism that it is,💥” he said.

#Bill #Gates, a Republican supervisor with Arizona’s largest constituency, Maricopa county which covers Phoenix, is quitting his job as a top election administrator after the November election in part because of the terrifying threats he and his family have suffered. He also called on the taskforce to step up the intensity of its operations at this critical moment.
“I’m grateful for what they’ve done, but we feel like they could do more,” he said. “We all feel that the January 6 prosecutions [over the attack on the US Capitol] have been very aggressive and well-publicized, and 🔸we’d like to see the same level when it comes to threats against election workers🔸.”

The taskforce said that the 12- to 24-month gestation period for its election threats prosecutions was similar to any other federal case, from violent crime to fraud. Keller agreed though that #deterrence was vital.
“The deterrent value of the cases is critical. Like most things in most spaces, I’m sure that we could do more and do better, and we are trying to come up with new ways to attract more attention to this work to maximize that deterrent impact,” he said.

The threat of nuclear war combined with the work of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) have helped mean a human’s chances of dying from war have been lower than any other time in human history.

Take away NATO, and the threat of nuclear war is left alone to do what it will.

Some supporting data: ourworldindata.org/war-and-pea

Our World in DataWar and PeaceHow common are armed conflict and peace between and within countries? How is this changing over time? Explore research and data on war and peace.
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“Levy describes a system that has almost reached perfection. The political echelon wants to maintain the status quo, and the military provides it with legitimacy in exchange for funds and status.”

“Levy points out the gradual withdrawal of the old Ashkenazi middle class from the ranks of the combat forces[…]:
• the military’s complete reliance on technology as a decisive factor in warfare;
• the adoption of the concept […] of an army that is “small and lethal”;
• the obsession with the idea of #deterrence, which is supposed to negate the other side’s will to fight; and
• the complete addiction to the status quo as the only possible and desirable state of affairs.”

972mag.com/yagil-levy-army-mid @israel @ethics @military @idf

+972 Magazine · ‘Change in Israel will only happen when there are costs that force our eyes open’Oct. 7 has ‘broken a contract’ between the army and gov’t, but has yet to shake Israeli society into a different paradigm, says Yagil Levy.