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Covid-19 may lead to longest period of peacetime excess mortality, says new Swiss Re report
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“Report suggests potential #ExcessMortality in the general population of up to 3% for the US by 2033 and 2.5% in the UK, the longest period of elevated peacetime excess mortality in the US
Key driver of excess mortality is the lingering impact of #COVID19; both as a direct cause of death, and as a contributor to #cardiovascular mortality
Reducing the impact of COVID-19 on elderly and vulnerable populations will be key to excess mortality returning to zero” https://med-mastodon.com/@cbarbermd/113534986576956599
Med-MastodonCarolyn Barber, MD (@cbarbermd@med-mastodon.com)According to Swiss Re Institute's report, “The future of excess mortality after #COVID , if the ongoing impact of the disease is not curtailed, excess mortality rates may remain up to 3% higher than pre-pandemic levels in the US and 2.5% in the UK by 2033.” https://shorturl.at/eoFWt #press
"We estimate that the average [hurricane] generates 7,000–11,000 excess deaths, exceeding the average of 24 immediate deaths reported in government statistics. Tracking the effects of 501 historical storms, we compute that the.. mortality burden ...is equal to roughly 3.2–5.1% of all deaths"
NatureMortality caused by tropical cyclones in the United States - NatureA large-scale evaluation of the long-term effects of tropical cyclones on human mortality in the contiguous United States estimates that the average tropical cyclone results in 7,000–11,000 excess deaths, far exceeding previous estimates.
Continued thread
@KarenCutter "It's encouraging that each successive COVID-19 wave has, so far, resulted in fewer deaths than the previous one. However, we think that COVID#19 is likely to cause some #ExcessMortality for several years to come, either as a direct cause of death or a contributing factor to other causes such as heart disease."
"In our view, the 'new normal' level of mortality is likely to be higher than it would have been if we hadn't had the pandemic."
"It's encouraging that each successive #COVID19 wave has, so far, resulted in fewer deaths than the previous one. However, we think that COVID-19 is likely to cause some #ExcessMortality for several years to come, either as a direct cause of death or a contributing factor to other causes such as heart disease."
"In our view, the 'new normal' level of mortality is likely to be higher than it would have been if we hadn't had the pandemic." https://bird.makeup/users/crabbbrendan/statuses/1817789122393805308
bird.makeupProf Brendan CrabbIncredible resource for us all. A big thankyou @KarenCutter4 and The Mortality Working Group.
https://bird.makeup/@karencutter4/1817695797313687828
First 3 years of COVID-19 had 3M excess deaths in the West: study - National | Globalnews.ca https://globalnews.ca/news/10541434/excess-deaths-western-countries-covid-pandemic-study/ “#ExcessMortality has remained high in the Western world for three consecutive years, despite the implementation of containment measures and #COVID19 vaccines,” the study authors in Netherlands concluded.
“ governments and policymakers “need to thoroughly investigate underlying causes of persistent excess mortality and evaluate their health crises policies.”
Global News · First 3 years of COVID-19 had 3M excess deaths in the West: study
“Total #ExcessMortality for the first seven months of 2023 is 6% (95% confidence interval: 5% to 8%) or +6,500 deaths – i.e., there were 6,500 more deaths than expected if the pandemic had not happened.
Half of the excess mortality is due to deaths from #COVID19 (+3,250 deaths), with another +1,150 COVID-19 related deaths, while the remaining +2,100 excess deaths had no mention of COVID-19 on the death certificate.” https://bird.makeup/@karencutter4/1720309158652887423
bird.makeupKaren CutterThe Covid-19 mortality working group has released our analysis of excess mortality in Australia to 31 July 2023.
TLDR: excess mortality is 6% (95% CI: 5-8%) for the first 7 months of 2023, +6,500 excess deaths relative to pre-pandemic expectations
https://www.actuaries.digital/2023/11/02/covid-19-mortality-working-group-excess-mortality-falls-in-july-as-another-covid-19-wave-subsides-in-australia/?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=231026-MCOM-Digest-%20Sub%20Digest&utm_content=231026-MCOM-Digest-%20Sub%20Digest+CID_c1a44557389bd677893cabad4a5a1b93&utm_source=Campaign%20Monitor&utm_term=Excess%20Mortality%20Falls%20in%20July%20as%20Another%20COVID-19%20Wave%20Subsides%20in%20Australia
Hi folks,
Sorry for being away for so long. It's been a really rough month.
But, here's a thread from yesterday about #ExcessMortality during #COVID19 in #Canada .
The #Canadian #COVIDForecast will be posted shortly on Twitter (it's already live on our website).
Excess mortality thread with links to our Excess Mortality Tracker and weekly Canadian COVID report: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1642177039514861568.html
threadreaderapp.comThread by @MoriartyLab on Thread Reader App@MoriartyLab: Canadians, when are we going to do something about COVID? The gray bars in this chart are % excess mortality from Jan 25/20-Dec 31/22 in Canada's fastest reporting provinces: NL, QC, AB, BC. Dec 31/22...…
Just did a long #Canadian #COVID #ExcessMortality thread on Twitter.
It will possibly kill me to redo it here, and I haven't figured out cross-posting yet.
So, here's the threadreader link: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1624090251969933312.html
threadreaderapp.comThread by @MoriartyLab on Thread Reader App@MoriartyLab: Thread: excess mortality and COVID death reporting in Canada during COVID All Canadian Excess Mortality Tracker data and graphs available here: covid19resources.ca/public/excess-… The graphs I'll show ...…