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💧🌏 Greg Cocks<p>A Predictive Model For Household Displacement Duration After Disasters<br>--<br><a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.17710" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">doi.org/10.1111/risa.17710</span><span class="invisible"></span></a> &lt;-- shared paper<br>--<br><a href="https://nicolepaul.eu.pythonanywhere.com/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">nicolepaul.eu.pythonanywhere.c</span><span class="invisible">om/</span></a> &lt;-- interactive web interface<br>--<br><a href="https://techhub.social/tags/GIS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>GIS</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/spatial" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>spatial</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/mapping" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>mapping</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/HouseholdPulseSurvey" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>HouseholdPulseSurvey</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/risk" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>risk</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/hazard" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>hazard</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/damage" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>damage</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/loss" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>loss</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/spatialanalysis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>spatialanalysis</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/model" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>model</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/modeling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>modeling</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/disaster" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>disaster</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/naturaldisaster" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>naturaldisaster</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/storm" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>storm</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/hurricane" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>hurricane</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/flood" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>flood</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/fire" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>fire</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/cost" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>cost</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>economics</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/community" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>community</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/publicsafety" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>publicsafety</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/effects" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>effects</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/predictivemodel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>predictivemodel</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/AI" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AI</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/machinelearning" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>machinelearning</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/riskanalysis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>riskanalysis</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/classifactiontree" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>classifactiontree</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/socioeconomics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>socioeconomics</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/casestudy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>casestudy</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/mitigation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>mitigation</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/preparedness" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>preparedness</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/displacement" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>displacement</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/population" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>population</span></a></p>
AnneTheWriter<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.social/@caal" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>caal</span></a></span> </p><p>When you are NOT "guessing" and are making actual predictions, based on a scientific formula, then that is not "chance." </p><p>When your scientific model can be retroactively applied (intact) for over 150 years into the past without error, then that is not "chance," it is SCIENCE. </p><p>Listen to the man speak, and do not judge him based on clickbait headlines.</p><p>Contrary to what the media tells you, he is NOT promising <a href="https://universeodon.com/tags/Kamala" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Kamala</span></a> will win. He is simply saying that "A lot would have to go wrong for the Democrats to lose at this point." There are still Keys which could be flipped. </p><p>He does say that there are factors still in play for this election (as he has said all along!), and explains them clearly. The polls have often been wrong. <a href="https://universeodon.com/tags/ProfLichtmann" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ProfLichtmann</span></a> never has.</p><p><a href="https://universeodon.com/tags/AllanLichtmann" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AllanLichtmann</span></a> <a href="https://universeodon.com/tags/13KeysToTheWhiteHouse" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>13KeysToTheWhiteHouse</span></a><br><a href="https://universeodon.com/tags/13Keys" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>13Keys</span></a> <a href="https://universeodon.com/tags/PredictiveModel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PredictiveModel</span></a> <a href="https://universeodon.com/tags/2024Elections" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>2024Elections</span></a> </p><p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/live/IuS98AcKDZQ?si=sVTPolVHWE1pmHu5" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">youtube.com/live/IuS98AcKDZQ?s</span><span class="invisible">i=sVTPolVHWE1pmHu5</span></a></p>