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#intelligence

33 posts24 participants0 posts today

You have to wonder how smart Vance is when he calls Presidents from his own party (well, to be sure, the MAGA party) dumb. That would be George H.W. Bush and his (Yes, okay! Vance called it right here.) son, George W. Bush.

yahoo.com/news/vance-says-diff
#JDVance #MiddleEast #War #Intelligence

Yahoo News · Vance says difference between this Middle East attack and others is that previous presidents were ‘dumb’By Joe Sommerlad
Continued thread

Now it appears it may not have. Acc/to a still #classified assessment by the #Defense #Intelligence Agency, the #bombs did not "obliterate" #Iran's #Fordow enrichment site as #Trump initially claimed. Instead, the strike did only limited damage to the advanced centrifuges kept there. At most, the program was set back "a few months," acc/to a US ofcl who confirmed the assessment's existence to NPR but remained anonymous because they were not authorized to speak to press.

The Mind of a Bee: An Exploration of the Intelligence of Bees. A talk with bee researcher Lars Chittka (via himself on 🦋 ): biologicalrecording.co.uk/2025 "He shows that they are profoundly smart, have distinct personalities, can recognize flowers and human faces, exhibit basic emotions, count, use simple tools, solve problems, and learn by observing others. They may even possess consciousness."

Biological Recording · The Mind of a Bee: An Exploration of the Intelligence of BeesDelve into the mind of a bee with Prof Lars Chittka (Queen Mary College of the University of London) and explore how bee brains are unparalleled in the animal kingdom.

#Trump speaking at #NATO sticking the “obliterated” #lies about #Iran #nuclear facilities, attacking #journalists on a personal level as “scum” “nasty” etc, spinning perfectly reasonable questions about the #intelligence report contradicting him into BS about the reporters & news outlets — who are literally just quoting the report — being unpatriotic & disparaging the military.

Utter bullshit.

NATO seemed more receptive, or they’ve just learned that the best way to manipulate him is flattery.

According to US #intelligence #assessment strikes did not destroy core components of #Iran #nuclear program, only setting it back by a few months. The assessment was produced by the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), based on a #battle damage assessment by US Central Command. These early findings contradict #Trump claims that the strikes “completely and totally obliterated” Iran’s nuclear enrichment facilities. #Hegseth also claimed that Iran’s nuclear ambitions “have been obliterated.” #war

Continued thread

…the #Defense #Intelligence Agency report indicates that the sites were not damaged as much as some #Trump admin officials had hoped, & that #Iran retains control of almost all of its #nuclear material, meaning if it decides to make a nuclear weapon it might still be able to do so relatively quickly.

Officials interviewed for this article spoke on the condition of anonymity because the findings of the report remain classified.

Continued thread

The early findings conclude that the strikes over the weekend set back Iran’s #nuclear program by only a few months, the officials said.

Before the attack, #US #intelligence agencies had said that if #Iran tried to rush to making a bomb, it would take about 3 months. After the US bombing run & days of attacks by the #Israel Air Force, the report by the #Defense Intelligence Agency estimated that the program was delayed less than 6 months.

Exclusive

«US military strikes on 3 of #Iran’s #nuclear facilities..did not destroy core components of country’s nuclear program & likely only set it back by months, according 2 early US #intelligence assessment..described by 3 people briefed on it

The assessment, not previously reported, was produced by #DefenseIntelligenceAgency, #Pentagon’s intelligence arm; based on battle damage assessment conducted by US #CentralCommand in aftermath of US strikes, 1 sources said»

cnn.com/2025/06/24/politics/in

CNN · Exclusive: Early US intel assessment suggests strikes on Iran did not destroy nuclear sites, sources sayBy Natasha Bertrand

Yay, out now: "AI #Narrative Breakdown. A Critical Assessment of #Power and #Promise", doi.org/10.1145/3715275.373208

"This article scrutinizes the pervasive narratives that are shaping the societal engagement with #artificial #intelligence (AI) such as agency & decision-making, autonomy, truthfulness, knowledge processing, prediction, general purpose, neutrality & objectivity, apolitical optimization, sustainability game-changer, democratization, mass unemployment, & the dualistic portrayal of AI as either a harbinger of societal utopia or dystopia. The article introduces the notion of "#Zeitgeist AI" to critique the misleading application of the term "AI" across various societal sectors. Then, by discussing the narratives with nuance, the article contextualises & deconstructs often assumed socio-political implications of AI, uncovering in detail and with examples the inherent political, #power infused & value-laden decisions within all AI applications."

#ChatGPT #FAccT2025 #ACM @FAccT

"The only thing we know for certain about Al is that we don't know exactly where we are going, but we are making great time." - Futurist Jim Carroll

My book Dancing in the Rain features a list of 30 Megatrends. Some folks asked me to expand on them, so I'm starting a new series today.
The first one, AI, obviously doesn't need a lot of explanation.

It's big.

It's fast.

It's not going away.

It's going to impact your life one way or the other.

It's going to have as profound an impact as the Internet has had, both good and bad.

People will endlessly debate about where it will take us.

Some are excited, many are terrified, many are both.

And the sophistication of what we can do continues to accelerate at a ridiculous rate.

As do the risks and the downside.

Ok, so with that out of the way, here's a bit more to think about. First, AI is not some weird futuristic concept - it's a pervasive reality that has already been rapidly transforming our world. I took the liberty of taking one of my recent AI keynotes and had it summarized by Google Gemini. I then fed this to gamma.app - and Megatrends#1 of how it summarized my work.

The first thing to think about is that from the seemingly mundane to the profoundly complex, AI is already deeply embedded in our daily lives. Take a look around your world - you have::

Wearable fitness trackers analyzing your exercise patterns
Chatbots that instantly answer your questions
Shopping sites recommending products based on your past purchases
Security cameras recognize unfamiliar faces or objects
Music apps creating personalized playlist recommendations
Email services categorize messages and filter spam

And that's just the tip of the iceberg. AI already powers everything around you, from autonomous vehicles and computer vision to natural language processing and virtual assistants. Algorithms are the unseen force behind Fitbits, Apple Health, Predictive Insurance, and just about everything else. In some industries - healthcare, for example - the 'algorithm' does a better job of interpreting critical data than humans do.

But that's not the key thing to think about - it's how quickly all of this is moving. It's the acceleration of everything having to do with AI that we need to think about. The explosion of AI into public consciousness isn't truly sudden. It's the result of several exponential trends converging:
Continuation of Moore's Law: The number of transistors on microchips doubles every two years, leading to ever-increasing processing power.
Collapsing Training Costs: The cost to train AI systems has plummeted dramatically. For example, the cost to train an AI system for image recognition dropped from $112.64 in 2017 to $4.50 in 2021. It's even less today.

It promises to change everything, and if we can adapt, learn, and responsibly innovate, THAT will determine our future in this rapidly evolving landscape.

As I said, we don't know where we are going but we sure are making great time!

#AI #Intelligence #Acceleration #Innovation #Technology #Transformation #Future #Automation #Learning #Opportunities

Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/06/decodin

Continued thread

"I would just simply say that the president's made it very clear he's looked at all of this - all of the intelligence, all the information - & come to the conclusion that the Iranian #nuclear program is a threat," #Hegseth said.

Appearing on Meet the Press on Sunday, #JDVance was asked whether #Trump had moved to attack #Iran based on #US #intelligence or rather intel provided by #Israel, which has been attacking Iranian nuclear & military sites, officials, & scientists since June 13.

Continued thread

…Across the federal government, senior officials & policymakers aren't pretending that #Trump's claims of an imminent #nuclear threat are built on anything but vibes, whether intentionally manufactured or not.

During a press conference Sunday morning, Defense Secy #PeteHegseth was asked whether the US had new #intelligence suggesting #Iran had been attempting to build nuclear weapons.

Continued thread

"There is no intel," said one of the ofcls…."The president is *protecting* the United States & our interests, [but] the intelligence assessments have not really changed from what they were before."

Sen #ChrisMurphy, who sits on the #ForeignRelations Cmte, confirmed…American #intelligence assessments on #Iran have not changed. "I was briefed on the intelligence last week. Iran posed no imminent threat of attack to the United States. Iran was not close to building a deliverable nuclear weapon."