"Over time, both the exorbitant privilege and the convenience yield have shown signs of erosion, mirroring the relative decline of the US in the global economy. In the current landscape, the euro is the only credible alternative to the dollar. A growing international role for the euro could allow the Eurozone to capture a portion of the exorbitant privilege and convenience yield, thereby lowering the cost of capital for European firms and governments.
However, greater internationalisation of the euro requires a more resilient euro-area financial system. In the future, the Federal Reserve’s “dollar swap lines” that enable central banks to borrow dollars in exchange for their own currencies may not be guaranteed in times of stress. Thus the euro area must be better prepared.
In the short run, this may mean precautionary accumulation of dollar reserves, enhanced co-ordination among central banks, and a concerted effort to reduce the banking system’s exposure to dollar liquidity risk. The functioning of foreign exchange derivative markets should also be scrutinised to increase resilience during systemic shocks. Importantly, payment systems in the euro area should be fully independent of the dollar."
https://www.ft.com/content/5bc02699-3eda-465b-bd73-f5e8b9573ae8
ECB’s Restrictive Monetary Conditions in the Face of Tariffs
#ECB Policy Rate > Euro Zone #Wage Growth
And being behind the curve might, for sure, cost employment in the #euro zone.
https://acemaxxanalytics.substack.com/p/ecbs-restrictive-monetary-conditions
Ukraine is starting to consider a shift away from the U.S. dollar, possibly linking its currency more closely to the euro amid the splintering of global trade and its growing ties to Europe, Central Bank Governor Andriy #Pyshnyi told Reuters.
Ukraine is starting to consider a shift away from the U.S. dollar, possibly linking its currency more closely to the euro amid the splintering of global trade and its growing ties to Europe. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/05/08/markets/ukraine-shift-dollar-euro/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #business #markets #us #dollar #euro #ukraine #russiaukrainewar #forex #trade
Potential accession to the #EuropeanUnion, a "strengthening of the #EU's role in ensuring our #defense capabilities, greater volatility in global #markets, & the probability of global-#trade fragmentation," are forcing the #CentralBank to review whether the #euro should be the reference #currency for #Ukraine's hryvnia instead of the #US #dollar, Pyshnyi said.
That’d be the smart move
Exclusive: #Ukraine considers shift from the #US #dollar to #euro amid #geopolitical realignments
Ukraine is starting to consider a shift away from the US dollar, possibly linking its currency more closely to the euro amid the splintering of global #trade & its growing ties to #Europe, per #CentralBank Gov Andriy Pyshnyi.
#geopolitics #economy
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-considers-shift-dollar-euro-amid-geopolitical-realignments-2025-05-07/
European companies sound alarm over the strong euro.
European companies are sounding the alarm over the strong euro, as the currency’s surge against the dollar this year opens up a new threat to exporters.
Software group SAP, carmaker Porsche, brewer Heineken and industrial giant Schneider Electric are among the companies to warn investors of a potential hit after the euro climbed more than 9% to a three-year high.
Trump has created a chance for the euro to rival the dollar
European leaders need to shed their political timidity to take the necessary steps
"It has long been an EU aspiration that the euro would rival the US dollar for global dominance, or at least for monetary sovereignty at home. Now, the self-sabotage of Donald Trump’s Washington is a golden opportunity..."
@GiftArticles lol, not the Pound then?
Today‘s #headline in #Europe:
#Bloomberg: „the #euro-area economy grew more than exprected at the start of the year“
vs
#wsj: „The #US #economy #shrank last quater. #Imports surged as #businesses rushe to stock ahead of #tariffs, while #consumers held spending in check“ …
#ntv: (translated) #USeconomy shrank beginning #2025 surprisingly around 0.5%
Long story short: If #Trump continues like he started it‘ only a question of time until the #USA is #insolvent just like #Argentina in the past
https://www.europesays.com/2038685/ Sicurezza su lavoro, altri 650 milioni per finanziare la prevenzione nelle imprese #assicurazione #CDM #confronto #cordoglio #ddl #DdlDisposizioni #DdlDisposizioniMateria #decreto #disposizioni #DisposizioniMateria #Euro #fenómeno #foti #FotiIncontrerà #FotiIncontreràSindacati #giovedì #GiovedìMaggio #Italia #italy #maggio #materia #meloni #notizie #sicurezza
Trump #tariffs and #FX - Historically, a sustained 10% rise in #euro shaves 2-3% off corporate #earnings - That will only add to the #uncertainty with #tariffs already weighing on the first-quarter earnings outlook, chart @reuters.com
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/unexpected-euro-surge-adds-europe-incs-tariff-misery-2025-04-28/
https://www.europesays.com/fr/59628/ l’énorme colère de Yann M’Vila, milieu de terrain de Caen #Actualités #BallonD'or #bundesliga #caen #ChampionsLeague #CoupeDeFrance #CoupeDuMonde #équipeDeFrance #euro #EuropaLeague #FR #France #italie #KylianMBappé #liga #Ligue1 #Ligue2 #LigueDesChampions #News #PremierLeague #uefa
#euro area: @Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel: #Germany faces risk of #recession on #tariffs – chart @BloombergTV https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-04-23/germany-faces-risk-of-recession-on-tariffs-warns-nagel-video
#Euro and #German Bunds on the Rise
A “capital flight”?
UST’ Status as the Global Reserve Asset of Choice
https://acemaxxanalytics.substack.com/p/euro-and-german-bunds-on-the-rise