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#decisionmaking

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"Eventually, I stopped responding to my body. I was responding instead to a dashboard." — @Daojoan

This is a great point and very much translates to so many other parts of life/work where people stop listening to their "body" (or to their org/product/offering), outsourcing/numbing/dumbing down their decision making based on dashboards of collected metrics and then changing their behaviors on auto-pilot to improve said metrics — without ever asking themselves if the data collected actually represents answers to the right (or even important) questions...

Metrics always invite comparison & competition — on a global scale — often without considering our own subjective contexts/needs/limits/aims...

Does the number of copilot prompts per day on a CTO dashboard indicate a highly productive developer or does a big fat zero merely show a different approach to problem solving?

Does the lack of constant updates to a FLOSS project mean it's become neglected/unusable or does it simply indicate it reached a level of stability?

Likewise, does my product/app need constant UI changes/updates to "streamline" user experience (often without even consulting users) based on some "goal" metrics?

Am I seen as an unproductive FLOSS developer if my public commit log doesn't show daily updates? Do gaps indicate laziness, illness, deep thinking or work on other projects? Like gaps in a CV, will these gaps of activity data hinder future employment chances or would I even want to work with orgs who select on this criteria?

Is a hike only good/better because it exceeds X kilometers or Y elevation meters? How does one measure the stunning views or the quality of the company which shared that experience?

joanwestenberg.com/why-i-gave-

Westenberg. · Why I Gave Up My SmartwatchSomewhere between the first time I tapped my wrist to skip a song and the three hundredth time I anxiously checked my resting heart rate, I started to hate my Apple Watch. The promise of the smartwatch was elegance, convenience, optimization. What I got was constant data drip, subtle panic,
Replied in thread

@ashleygjovik Your paper makes *crucially* important points about how transparency in #DecisionMaking (even without a participatory component) is at the core of the #ClimateEmergency and other major problems facing society, and how ethical actions can be effective. Procedural delay+misrepresentation+hiding information are ineffective in Debian, Wikipedia, FOSS. Making them ineffective in universities and other institutions is doable.

In Baghdad, 2003, a press officer assured the world that "Baghdad is safe" as American tanks rolled into view behind him. The footage is surreal—and oddly familiar.

In organisations, the same playbook is often in use. Would be 'leaders' project confidence. Brand narratives soar. Objectives, morale, and reality? They quietly slip through the cracks.

robert.winter.ink/when-messagi

Dr Robert N. Winter · When Messaging Slips the Bonds of Reality
More from Dr Robert N. Winter

Ever watched a colleague cling to a failing strategy like it's a badge of honour? But in business, as in probability, sticking to your first instinct isn't always smart—it's often a trap. 🎲 Enter the Monty Hall paradox, a powerful metaphor for organisational leadership.

robert.winter.ink/why-great-ma

Dr Robert N. Winter · Why Great Managers Know When to Switch Doors
More from Dr Robert N. Winter
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@offby1

Thanks for this.

While not as pithy as the article you posted, I found this one 3 or 4 years ago and have re-read it a few times.

It helps provide a bit perspective when I get into "burn it all down mode" on some of my projects. Or, conversely, when I see myself being curmudgeonly resistant to some new practice. YMMV

fs.blog/chestertons-fence/

Farnam Street · Chesterton’s Fence: A Lesson in ThinkingA core component of making great decisions is understanding previous decisions. If we don’t understand how we got “here,” we run the risk of making things much worse.

🔔 New Essay 🔔

"The Intelligent AI Coin: A Thought Experiment"

Open Access here: seanfobbe.com/posts/2025-02-21

Recent years have seen a concerning trend towards normalizing decisionmaking by Large Language Models (LLM), including in the adoption of legislation, the writing of judicial opinions and the routine administration of the rule of law. AI agents acting on behalf of human principals are supposed to lead us into a new age of productivity and convenience. The eloquence of AI-generated text and the narrative of super-human intelligence invite us to trust these systems more than we have trusted any human or algorithm ever before.

It is difficult to know whether a machine is actually intelligent because of problems with construct validity, plagiarism, reproducibility and transferability in AI benchmarks. Most people will either have to personally evaluate the usefulness of AI tools against the benchmark of their own lived experience or be forced to trust an expert.

To explain this conundrum I propose the Intelligent AI Coin Thought Experiment and discuss four objections: the restriction of agents to low-value decisions, making AI decisionmakers open source, adding a human-in-the-loop and the general limits of trust in human agents.

@histodons @politicalscience

seanfobbe.com · [Essay] The Intelligent AI Coin: A Thought Experiment
More from Seán Fobbe

You ever just sit and think about decisions you have to make in the future and wonder to yourself, are they drastic? Are they right? Are they wrong? Will they affect just you? Will they affect others? Will you regret the decision(s) you make, regardless if they feel right to you?

Surely that's not something that is just a me issue and that I'm struggling with currently.

Chris Corrigan @chriscorrigan on #participation and #DecisionMaking:

»The exercise of engagement is often window dressing. It can result in hundreds and hundreds of text answers on qualitative surveys that have no rhyme nor reason to them. Comments like “fix the potholes on Elm Street” don’t mean anything without #context, even if a bunch of people say them. […]

#Election success now is about saying you will do a thing, then doing something and successfully externalizing all the bits that didn’t work so you can take credit for the small thing you did. If people buy what you are selling, you will get re-elected.[…]

But there are ways out of this state of affairs.«

chriscorrigan.com/parkinglot/c

Chris Corrigan · Community is participatoryConfirmed yet again that the way to build community, and indeed strengthen participatory and democratic societies is to do work together. Peter Levine, who I feel like everyone should read, has a n…

Daily Inspiration: "Somehow, one way or the other, you will need to be ready to move on from this day!" - Futurist Jim Carroll

Hey, is there anything going on anywhere today?

Obsessed with the news? Hitting the refresh button? Reading polls?

Remember how I said that uncertainty and volatility cause many people to defer the making of decisions? It turns out I'm not the only one.

Yesterday, an article from Korn Ferry crossed my desk and got right into the specifics of what I keep talking about.

The headline?

The Leadership Election ‘Excuse’ - US election uncertainty has been the reason many leaders have punted on big decisions. What happens after this week’s voting?

Look, one way or the other, there will be some certainty at some moment in time in the days to come with this uncertainty. You and I might be happy, or we might be crushed. I might be happy and you might be crushed. Or you might be happy and I might be desolate.

We don't know where we're going to be.

But somehow, some way, in some fashion, we'll have to pick up our pieces and move on.

Somehow, we'll get beyond today and tomorrow in due course.

Whatever happens, we need to move beyond this day.

In my case, regardless of what happens, I'll be moving myself forward, not back.

#DecisionMaking #Leadership #MoveForward #NoExcuses #BusinessGrowth #Adaptation #StayFocused #FutureReady #ElectionImpact #OvercomeUncertainty

Original post: jimcarroll.com/2024/11/daily-i

Daily Inspiration: "The speed of your decision-making should match the pace of the trends" - Futurist Jim Carroll

People and organizations are far too slow.

They defer decisions until it's too late. 

Is that you?

For a long time, I've seen too many clients and those trying to book me suffering from what I call 'aggressive indecision' - an organizational culture in which people simply can't take a step forward into tomorrow through the simple act of deciding what to do. The funny thing is, I first defined this problem way back in 2003l. Since then, even though the world has sped up, aggressive indecision has settled into far too many organizations, slowing them down.

This leads to an acceleration disconnect.

That's why more organizations- at least the ones that recognize they have a decision-making problem, are moving towards the side of 'corporate agility' - recognizing that decision-making is a key competency. Who would have thought?

I would have thought. I've been talking about the issue of indecision for years on stage - and organizations that manage to decide to bring me in, are usually those who ask me to talk about it! I suspect the others know that they are riddled with organizational sclerosis that comes with a slow structure, and so they settle into the warm-blanket excuse of deciding to do nothing. (Is that an actual decision?)

What should you do? 

Be relentless on speed! Some time ago, in one of these posts, I suggested organizations should create a position called the "Chief Momentum Officer" to help them keep up with the pace of change. Organizations today need rapid, well-informed decision-making - because adapting to the trends of today that define tomorrow means that tomorrow is going to be here sooner than you think!

Be proactive, make quick decisions, and adjust as you go, rather than waiting and risking being left behind.

After all - the future just doesn't belong to those who are fast.

It belongs to those who can get there fast!

#DecisionMaking #FutureOfWork #CorporateAgility #Innovation #Trends #Adaptation #Proactive #FastPace #Leadership #CompetitiveEdge

Original post: jimcarroll.com/2024/11/daily-i

"In a #consensus decision-making process, the decision and the buy-in land at the same time. Rather than making a decision and then getting everyone on board, you get everyone on board, at which point the decision is clear."

by Mandy Brown: everythingchanges.us/blog/cons

everything changesConsenting to decisions | everything changesDon’t sleep on consensus decision-making processes.